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Three polls show Obama winner of third presidential debate

October 23, 2012

Online Staff Report

Three polls have declared President Barack Obama the winner of the third, and final, presidential debate of the season.

Held Oct. 22 at Lynn University in Boca Raton, Fla., and moderated by Bob Schieffer, host of CBS’s Face the Nation, topic of the debate was foreign policy. (Click here for a full transcript of the debate.)

A CBS News poll of 525 uncommitted voters taken directly after the debate showed 53 percent believed Obama won the third debate, while 23 percent believed Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney won the debate.

A Public Policy Polling (PPP) survey of swing state voters showed 53 percent believed Obama won the debate, while 42 percent believed Romney won the debate. Furthermore, the survey also found 51 percent planned to vote for Obama and 45 percent planned to vote for Romney. The PPP survey included voters from Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, New Hampshire, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Virginia.

A CNN/Opinion Research poll found more registered voters who watched the debate thought Obama won (48 percent), compared to those who thought Romney won (40 percent). The sample in the poll included a higher percentage of Republicans.

Nationwide polls continue to show mixed results in the race for the White House. An Oct. 23 Rasmussen Reports poll had Romney leading Obama 50-46 percent. Meantime, three Oct. 22 polls showed Romney leading (Gallup, 51-45 percent; Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun, 48-45 percent; and Politico/GWU/Battleground, 49-47 percent) and two showed Obama leading (ABC News/Washington Post, 49-48 percent, and CBS News, 48-46 percent).

While nationwide polls can be a reflection of the overall view of the country and are sometimes flawed, the Electoral College is what will ultimately determine whether Obama or Romney wins the race.

According to projections by Real Clear Politics based on state-by-state polls, Romney is leading Obama 206-201 in the Electoral College, with 131 votes considered toss-ups.

Toss-up states, with electoral votes in parentheses include Colorado (nine), Florida (29), Iowa (six), Michigan (16), Nevada (six), New Hampshire (four), Ohio (18), Pennsylvania (20), Virginia (13) and Wisconsin (10). States leaning toward Romney include Arizona (11), Montana (three) and North Carolina (15). States leaning toward Obama include Minnesota (10) and Oregon (seven).

With the Nov. 6 general election two weeks away and the debates behind them, the candidates and their running mates are likely to campaign heavily in the toss-up states.

One key factor in the race for the White House could be a critical nationwide jobs report that will be released Friday, Nov. 2.

Posted Oct. 23, 2012

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